Research Evolution Summary Walking through the forest, you find a wristwatch and a rock. You think the watch must have had a designer. It’s complex and wouldn’t appear in nature randomly. It has the appearance of design for a purpose. But the rock doesn’t stand out and require explanation, and
Research Yes or No Philosophy A “binary” issue is one with only two answers, e.g. yes or no. Epistemology is fundamentally binary. E.g. you can accept an idea, or not. You can reject an idea, or not. You can decide a criticism refutes an idea, or not. You can decide an idea solves
Research Integrating Conceptual Units and Combining Dimensions Dimensions or units are a type of idea or concept. Two or more of them can be integrated together into a single conceptual unit. This follows the general rules of integration of ideas. Any group of ideas can be integrated together, but most groupings and combination methods result in nonsense.
Research Brandolini’s Law I read a tweet [https://twitter.com/g_s_bhogal/status/1438972536465809409]: > Brandolini's Law (aka the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle): It takes a lot more energy to refute bullshit than to produce it. Hence, the world is full of unrefuted bullshit. I considered and analyzed the tweeted idea.
Research Most Factors Aren’t Borderline When trying to evaluate an issue, there are many, many factors that could be considered. As a matter of logic, the solution space is huge, and the number of things you could look at is huge. Most factors are irrelevant. Of the relevant factors, most are not close calls. They
Research Breakpoints, Categories and Margins of Error There are infinitely many quantitative differences between analog factors. But there are only a small number of relevant qualitative differences for a particular context with a few goals. Qualitative, notable, important, meaningful differences – differences that connect to some kinda relevant intellectual concept – are sparse and rare. There are also digital
Research Chat about Decision Making Math I had this discussion in August 2021 while working on my article, Multi-Factor Decision Making Math [https://criticalfallibilism.com/multi-factor-decision-making-math/]. Justin [https://justinmallone.com] was studying math. I saw an opportunity to explain the issue he was working on and also relate it to my article. Justin had not seen