Academic Literature for Multi-Factor Decision Making

Abstract: After writing my article Multi-Factor Decision Making Math, I found and reviewed relevant academic literature about Multi-Criterion Decision Making (MCDM). I found no criticisms of my beliefs in the literature. I found that the MCDM and epistemology literatures mutually ignore each other, to their detriment. And I determined that

News

Newsletter January 2023

Many, many links.

Research

Taking Personal Responsibility for Debating Your Ideas

Anyone can take responsibility for defending some ideas. People can defend different but overlapping sets of ideas and still help each other. To the extent other people do useful stuff, it’s less work for you. To the extent no one else helps defend the ideas you care about, then

Debate, Rejection, Priorities and Endless Meta Levels

Open debate policies involve more honesty than people are used to. If you don’t ignore people with no explanation, then you have to explain when you don’t debate people. That makes your reason for not debating be transparent and open to criticism. But people often take rejection poorly.

Checking Citations from David Thorstad

I checked three cites from Against the singularity hypothesis by David Thorstad. I specifically looked for quotations and checked the first three I found. I wanted to test my theory that Thorstad’s cites should be assumed unreliable due to some other errors he made. I also wanted to test

Research

Postmortems Help Address Causes of Errors

After you make an error, you should investigate what caused the error, and what changes you should make to prevent other errors due to the same underlying cause. This is called a postmortem (the root words mean “after death”). Sometimes postmortems are quick and easy. That’s fine. They don’

Ignoring “Small” Errors

Attitudes enabling ignoring “small” errors makes it significantly harder for critics to get attention and make progress. Even if they point out an error, and they are correct that it’s an error, and people agree with them … that often isn’t good enough. That makes the job of the

Research

Rationality Policies

The rule of law is one of our most important political inventions. Written rules help address problems with biased, corrupt or otherwise untrustworthy people in power. Who shouldn’t be trusted with arbitrary power? Everyone. We’re all fallible. We all have biases. We all make mistakes. If you’re

Research

Engaging with Long Articles

Reply to the first error.

Skills

Conscious and Subconscious Ideas

As a useful approximation, we can divide all our ideas into two categories. One category is conscious or explicit ideas (ideas that you can put into words). The other category is subconscious, inexplicit or intuitive ideas, including emotions. Sometimes we have no conscious awareness of a subconscious idea. However, it’

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My Experience with My Debate Policy

How guaranteeing debates saves time.

Research

Fallibilism, Bias, and the Rule of Law

Effective Altruism can learn from the rule of law.

Skills

Intuition Is Part of Rational Living

Your conscious and subconscious mind are like a boss and workers.

Skills

Intuition and Rational Debate

Previously I wrote Don’t Suppress Your Intuition and Intuition and Rationality. I’m now expanding on ideas in those articles. I recommend reading them first. A key to not being bullied in debates is knowing how to say “I intuitively disagree with that.” If you won’t express intuitive

Skills

Intuition and Rationality

Intuitions are part of rational thinking and debate.

Skills

Don’t Suppress Your Intuition

Intuitions aren't irrational.

Skills

Grammar as Functions

Grammar concepts can be thought of like mathematical functions.

Skills

Projects, Activities and Using Discussion Forums

The difference between projects and activities. And how to use discussion forums.

Research

Attention to Detail

What does it mean to be detail oriented, to have good attention to detail, or to have good memory?

News

Newsletter July 2022

Updates from Elliot.

Research

Being Open to Debate (and Judging Intellectuals)

Ways to be open to debate, ways I'm open, and ways I might not be.

Research

Uncertainty and Binary Epistemology

The way to correct errors involves looking for errors – for causes of failure – and trying to fix them. Fixing means changing from failure to success. It does not involve increasing the goodness of factors. Most factors had no error anyway, so an increase won’t change an error to a

Research

Evolution and Epistemology

How evolution relates to intelligent thinking and error correction

Practice Thinking in Terms of Error Correction

A way to improve your philosophy skills.

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Similarity and Contextual Conversion Between Dimensions

In Multi-Factor Decision Making Math [https://criticalfallibilism.com/multi-factor-decision-making-math/], I discussed converting (measurements or judgments of) decision-making factors to other dimensions. I said that this broadly can’t be done and we need other approaches to decision making. However, I said, the narrower the context you care about, the more